COVID-19 in Belgium: is it over yet?
Belgium recently started to lift its lockdown measures initially imposed to contain the spread of the Covid-19. Following this decision taken by Belgian authorities, we analyze how the situation evolved so far.
Contrarily to a previous article in which I analyzed the outbreak of the Coronavirus in Belgium using the SIR model, in this article we focus on the evolution of:
- the number of hospital admissions
- the number of new confirmed cases
at the province and national level.
New hospital admissions
From the above figure, we see that the rate of hospitalizations continue with a decreasing trend in all provinces (and in Belgium as well).
Update of September 25, 2020:
Note that the reported number of new confirmed cases is probably underestimated. This number does not take into account undiagnosed (without or with few symptoms) or untested cases. Therefore, figures with number of cases should be interpreted with extreme caution.
By age group and sex
Below another visualization of the number of cases by age group and sex in Belgium, for three different periods:
This visualization shows the importance to report ages of cases and not just total number.
Moreover, we see that the distribution of cases per week by age group at the beginning of September is similar than during the summer holidays, but the number of cases per week is higher. The distribution of cases per week by age group at the beginning of September is however different from the “first wave” (period from March 1, 2020 to May 31, 2020). During the fist period, majority of cases were elderly, while at the beginning of September majority of cases are young people. It would be interesting to see how the distribution of cases by age group evolves during winter.
The figure above may be put in relation with the structure of the Belgian population:
Additionally, these can be seen dynamically:
By age group, sex and province
Thanks for reading. We hope that these figures will evolve in the right direction. In the meantime, take care and stay safe!
If you would like to be further updated on the evolution of the COVID-19 epidemic, two options:
- visit the blog from time to time, and
- join Twitter and follow us: statsandr, NikoSpeybroeck & arosas_aguirre
As always, if you have a question or a suggestion related to the topic covered in this article, please add it as a comment so other readers can benefit from the discussion.
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